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38bp Of Further ’24 Cuts Priced Into BoE-Dated OIS As Bank Delivers Hawkish Cut

STIR

Fairly contained net moves in BoE-dated OIS beyond the adjustment to fully price today’s now delivered rate cut, as the Bank delivers a “hawkish cut.”

  • 38bp of further cuts are now priced through year end, with remaining ’24 meetings seeing ~5bp of dovish adjustments in pricing vs. pre-decision levels.
  • Caution on the speed/size of any future cuts and the lack of firm commitment to further easing limit the dovish market reaction.
BoE MeetingSONIA BoE-Dated OIS (%)SONIA BoE-Dated OIS Pre-BoE Decision (%)
Aug-244.9675.057
Sep-244.8994.955
Nov-244.7204.778
Dec-244.5844.636
Feb-254.4024.460
Mar-254.2714.324
May-254.0024.053

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg. 2025 meeting dates are estimated.

MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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