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/3Y: Treasuries saw FX-tied..........>

US TSYS/SUPPLY
US TSYS/SUPPLY: /3Y: Treasuries saw FX-tied selling by black boxes as the US$
firms up vs. yen; earlier saw black box buying amid weaker US$. Tsys saw
pre-auction short-setting into 11:30am ET 3Y auction and 1pm 10Y reopening and
rate-locks amid busy high-grade US$ corporate bond issuance.
- 3Y AUCTION: Buyers may be nervous to buy ahead of a Dec. rate hike but that's
a ways off and may be already priced in; auction occurs ahead of 2pm ET FOMC
meeting minutes. But may be some willing to take a shot, including US, Jpn,
China, Europeans. 3Y very tight in RP, suggesting some good shorts.
- SocGen's Shakeeb Hulikatti said 3y, 10Y "take place" before 2pm ET FOMC mins;
3y needs "concession" as doesn't "seem to have set up from a RV perspective." He
cited "cut in dealers'" 3Y shorts plus fact auctions occur before Friday CPI, a
"risk event.
- JPM's Jay Barry, Jason Hunter: Since Sep auctns, 3Y and 10Y yields rose "20bp
and 16bp, respectively, and are trading near their highest levels in 6 months."
- HISTORY: Sept. US$24B 3Y auction: 1.433% yield, 2.70 cover, 10.4% directs,
46.2% indirects,  high 43.4% dealers. 

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