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5Y CDS Surges as Putin Mobilizes Troops But Remains Well Below 2014 Levels

RUSSIA
  • OFZs open +1-7bp higher in early trading, but will likely continue to suffer losses in today’s session following g the recognition of the DPR & LPR.
  • Yesterday’s session saw OFZ yields rise +34-77bp across the curve, while USD bond yields lifted +28-51bp. This trend should remain entrenched as the West deliberates on sanctions.
  • However, the early stages may be limited and focused on DPR & LPR positions as Russia has not made any “further” incursions into “new” Ukraine territory.
  • Credit default swaps are likely to continue to surge higher, having risen +40bp yesterday to 323 – eclipsing the prior high at 276.
  • This remains well short of the 2014 Crimea highs at 628, however. Next major levels at 385, 419 & 485.

MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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