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Analysts Expect Q4 Wage Gains To Be Contained

AUSTRALIA DATA

Today the Wage Price Index (WPI) for Q4 prints and it will be watched closely for any signs that higher inflation is feeding into wages and that they could be moving towards a rate that is no longer consistent with the RBA’s price target. It is currently expected to rise 1% q/q, in line with the Q3 result, bringing the annual rate to 3.5% from 3.1%. Also watch the average pay increase series.

  • The SEEK advertised salary index rose 1.2% q/q in Q4 to be up 4.7% y/y after 1.2% q/q and 3.7% y/y in Q3.
  • The majority of analysts are expecting a 1% q/q rise in the WPI but two expect 0.9% and four 1.1% and one each for 1.2% and 1.3%. Three of Australia’s big four banks expect 1% with Westpac forecasting slightly higher at 1.1%.
Australia wages growth y/y%

Source: MNI - Market News/SEEK/ABS

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