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Another wide range session

BONDS
  • Another lighter session in terms of volumes for markets, EGBs, Bund, and US.
  • But it doesn't mean that the session didn't provide more wide ranges.
  • Bund has done 158 ticks.
  • Most of the trend for today, has been some position squaring, locking profit and receiving interest, as investors park cash into yields, going into Month/quarter end.
  • This is providing some corrective consolidation, after the contract fell a massive 1,177 ticks in March.
  • Once again the short end 2yr Schatz and 5yr Bobl have led, and where most of the action has been, with better volumes in Schatz and Bobl, versus what we see in Bund.
  • Month End/Quarter End extensions are small for the EU and US and a non event for the UK.
  • Given the size of the extensions, unlikely to be a driver, since Extension duration are the most impactful in Bonds, as oppose to rebalancing flow.
  • Still Citi rebalancing flow, sees interest out of Equities into Bond, for this Month
  • Gilt underperforms Germany, and the Gilt/Bund spread has widened 5.4bps, after finding a base at 100bps, which was the lowest print since August 2021 yesterday.
  • Looking ahead, SNB's Maechler, T. Moser at Money Market Event in Zurich.
  • Won't impact Bonds

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