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MNI Political Risk-Ardern On Course For Re-Election In NZ Poll

Incumbent New Zealand Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern is set to be re-elected in the country's legislative election to be held on October 17. The vote was delayed from 19 September due to an outbreak of COVID-19 in August, but this has done little to damage Ardern's standing, with opinion polling pointing towards her centre-left Labour Party on course to either win a narrow majority or be in a position to form a two-party coalition with the environmentalist Greens.

Chart 1. Opinion Polling for New Zealand Election, % and Trendline

Source: Newshub-Reid Research, 1 News-Colmar Brunton, Roy Morgan Research, MNI

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MNI POLITICAL RISK - Ardern On Course For Re-Election In Delayed New Zealand Poll.pdf

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