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Free AccessAustralia ANZ Job Advertisements M/M Up for 5 Straight Months
SYDNEY (MNI) - From the ANZ job-advertisement survey for July published
Monday:
July June
--------------------------------------------------------
Job Ads (SA*, Change M/M) +1.5% +2.7% (no revision)
Job Ads (SA*, Change Y/Y) +12.8% +10.5%
Job Ads (Trend, Change M/M) +1.0% +1.3%
Job Ads (Trend, Change Y/Y) +10.7% +10.3%
*Seasonally adjusted
FACTORS: Job advertisements grew for the fifth consecutive month for the
longest streak of gains in at least two years. The increase took y/y growth rate
to 12.8% -- a pace last seen in September 2015. The trend y/y growth rate of
10.7% in July was the highest since December 2015.
TAKEAWAY: The data shows employment growth is likely to continue over the
coming months and is supportive of the Reserve Bank's upbeat forecasts in the
Statement on Monetary Policy published Friday. The RBA said information from
leading indicators, such as job advertisements and vacancies, pointed to solid
employment growth over the second half of 2017 following stronger-than-expected
growth over the first half. Further out the RBA expects employment growth to be
broadly consistent with labor force growth. Based on these expectations the RBA
expects the unemployment rate to edge lower over the forecast period to be just
under 5.5% at the end of 2019.
COMMENTS: ANZ head of Australia economics David Plank said recent data
showed a clear improvement in labor-market conditions consistent with elevated
business conditions, profitability and capacity utilization.
"Broadly, forward indicators and survey-based measures point toward
near-term jobs growth in the order of 15k-20k per month. Given the importance of
the labor market and wage growth to the course of monetary policy we will be
closely watching the 2Q Wage Price Index number, out on Aug. 16," Plank said.
--MNI Sydney Bureau; tel: +61 2-9716-5467; email: sophia.rodrigues@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MALDS$,M$A$$$,M$L$$$,MT$$$$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.