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Barclay's trade of the week is a long........>

AUSSIE
AUSSIE: Barclay's trade of the week is a long AUD/USD position at $0.7285,
targeting a move to $0.7360, with stop-loss level at $0.7248.
- Barclays note that "spot AUD/USD has rebounded ~2% from its $0.7085 lows on
fading risk aversion. The AUD has recently traded with a high sensitivity to
yuan movements, in addition to its usual high beta to risk sentiment, but CNY
weakness is currently being limited by the authorities. While global trade &
growth concerns remain given Trump's protectionist stance, resilient energy &
iron ore prices amid trade uncertainty is supporting Australia's term of trade.
The AUD has also recently received support from a ratings outlook upgrade from
S&P. While there are no major events in Australia in the coming week, a
continued unwinding of "risk-off" trades could support the AUD, considering that
short position in the currency remains fairly extended. The risks to the trade
include a hawkish FOMC statement or set of economic projections this week, a
weaker-than-expected China PMI report, or sharp reversal of risk sentiment
driven by EM shocks, resulting in a technical rejection at the upper bound of
the trend channel that has enveloped the cross since Jan."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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