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Free AccessBiden Remains Slight Favourite To Win In 2024 Despite Concerns Over Age
Betting market continue to see President Biden as the slight favourite to win the 2024 presidential election despite persistent concerns amongst Democrat voters over Biden's age.
A new AP-NORC poll found that, “40% of adults associate Biden with words related to age or being confused.”
- Axios reports: “Former President Trump has his own problems. Asked what first comes to mind about Trump, nearly a quarter of respondents mentioned words such as corruption, crime, lying and untrustworthiness…. This foreshadows a potential 2024 rematch pitting Biden's age vs. Trump's legal peril.”
- According to AP, “77% of adults think Biden, 80, is too old to serve effectively for four more years, 89% of Republicans think Biden's too old — as do 69% of Democrats.”
- Trump, who is only three years younger than Biden, faces less scrutiny for his age — even from Democrats - suggesting that Republican attacks on Biden’s age and cognitive abilities may have influenced voter perceptions of Biden.
Figure 1: 2024 Presidential Election Winner
Source: Smarkets
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.