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Biden Reverses Trump's Early Polling Advantage, NYT

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A new survey from the New York Times/Siena College has found that, “President Biden has nearly erased Donald J. Trump’s early polling advantage, amid signs that the Democratic base has begun to coalesce behind the president despite lingering doubts about the direction of the country, the economy and his age.”

  • NYT notes that Biden and Trump are now virtually tied, with Trump, “holding a 46 percent to 45 percent edge. That is an improvement for Mr. Biden from late February, when Mr. Trump had a sturdier 48 percent to 43 percent lead just before he became the presumptive Republican nominee.”
  • Times chief political analyst Nate Cohn writes: “You can't exactly call a one-point deficit the 'Biden comeback, but the result adds to a growing list of polls finding him inching up over the last month."
  • Axios notes: “The main reason Biden ticked up in Times/Siena appears to be his improved standing among his 2020 voters — 89% now vs. 83% in February.”

Figure 1: “If the 2024 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were Joe Biden and Donald Trump?”

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A new survey from the New York Times/Siena College has found that, “President Biden has nearly erased Donald J. Trump’s early polling advantage, amid signs that the Democratic base has begun to coalesce behind the president despite lingering doubts about the direction of the country, the economy and his age.”

  • NYT notes that Biden and Trump are now virtually tied, with Trump, “holding a 46 percent to 45 percent edge. That is an improvement for Mr. Biden from late February, when Mr. Trump had a sturdier 48 percent to 43 percent lead just before he became the presumptive Republican nominee.”
  • Times chief political analyst Nate Cohn writes: “You can't exactly call a one-point deficit the 'Biden comeback, but the result adds to a growing list of polls finding him inching up over the last month."
  • Axios notes: “The main reason Biden ticked up in Times/Siena appears to be his improved standing among his 2020 voters — 89% now vs. 83% in February.”

Figure 1: “If the 2024 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were Joe Biden and Donald Trump?”

Keep reading...Show less