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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessBNP Paribas Raises S. Africa 2022 Avg CPI Est. to 6% From 5.2%
- Forecast for South Africa’s average inflation in 2022 is raised on higher non-core prices exacerbated by the crisis in Ukraine* Headline inflation now looks likely to breach the 6% top of the central bank target band from April and only slow back to below 6% by 4Q
- Inflation rate now seems likely to only fall back below the 4.5% midpoint of the target range from 2Q 2023, compared with BNP Paribas’s original expectation that it would be comfortably back toward the target by late this year
- “While we don’t believe the SARB will respond aggressively to supply-side pressures alone, well-anchored core CPI remains critical to this view”
- BNP Paribas maintains above-consensus call for 25 basis-points hikes at each of the five remaining policy meetings this year, followed by a cumulative 75 basis points in hikes in 2023
- Notes the balance of risks to both the pace and size of interest-rate increases has shifted to the upside
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.