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BNP's Paul Mortimer-Lee said the Fed's......>

US VIEW
US VIEW: BNP's Paul Mortimer-Lee said the Fed's "too-hawkish rhetoric too early,
and too little attention to inflation expectations, are the main reasons why
core inflation is nearer to 1% than 2%. It's the Fed's fault."
- He added that the "taper tantrum lowered inflation expectations a lot, and the
2015 and 2016 rate hikes both came when data were signalling a rise was
inappropriate."
- He said too that US "inflation expectations are not at a level that is
consistent with hitting 2% inflation - we reckon break-evens would need to be
2.5% to be consistent with that; we're well short."
- He added also that the "Fhe Fed is a poor inflation forecaster and its
reaction function is foggy, hence the need to heavily flag its moves. Bond
rallies after rate hikes question the wisdom of the hikes."

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