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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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MNI BRIEF: China Passenger Car Sales Up In November Y/Y
BoE Pricing Shows 75bp Of '24 Cuts
BoE-dated OIS trades towards dovish session extremes that came on the back of feedthrough from some of the more dovish BoE rhetoric at the latest TSC hearing.
- 75bp of cuts are priced through '24 vs. ~68bp at yesterday's close.
- The latest RTRS poll indicated that August will herald the first BoE rate cut vs. Q2 in the January poll (majorities being slim in both instances).
- This slight push back in rate cut timing generally tracks the recent evolution of market pricing.
- A quick reminder that while BoE Governor Bailey & Deputy Governor Broadbent didn't endorse market pricing they didn't firmly push back against it.
- Bailey repeated that inflation does not have to be at target for the Bank to start cutting rates.
- Still, he stressed that more evidence is needed re: a moderation in inflation before rate cuts can be implemented.
BoE Meeting | SONIA BoE-Dated OIS (%) | Difference Vs. Current Effective SONIA Rate (bp) |
Mar-24 | 5.197 | +1.0 |
May-24 | 5.141 | -4.6 |
Jun-24 | 5.043 | -14.4 |
Aug-24 | 4.880 | -30.7 |
Sep-24 | 4.744 | -44.3 |
Nov-24 | 4.571 | -61.6 |
Dec-24 | 4.438 | -75.0 |
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.