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Boric, Copper and Risk All Weigh On Chilean Peso

CHILE
  • Signs are for a very close race at the November election following the leading candidates having already traded places as front-runner. Leftist candidate Gabriel Boric edged into the lead in Chile's latest opinion poll, though well within the margin of error.
  • As noted, Boric obtained 24% of voter intentions, up from 21% in the previous week's survey, according to a Cadem poll published on Monday. Right-wing candidate Sebastian Sichel placed second with 22%, down from 24% previously.
  • Additionally, souring risk sentiment has provided further tailwinds for the Peso to start the week with equity indices firmly in the red following disappointing economic activity data out of China.
  • Front-month copper futures have retreated 1.4%, providing another catalyst for a weaker Peso that is by far the worst performer across global currencies on Monday, down 1.57%.
  • As pointed out, the technical trend remains bullish for the pair. Moving average studies remain in a bull mode with the next momentum trigger at 795.73, the Aug 9 high. Above here we note 806.84 which represents not only the August 2020 highs but also the 61.8% retracement from the March 2020 – May 2021 price swing.

MNI/Bloomberg

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