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BTPs have been the main movers in......>

BOND SUMMARY
BOND SUMMARY: BTPs have been the main movers in fixed income space. Following
yesterday's decision by the constitutional court that the referendum on
electoral law changes would not proceed, BTPs have found a bid. These changes
would have seen Italy's parliament elected via a first past the post (FPTP)
system, similar to the UK, rather than part proportional representation (PR) and
part FPTP. If the referendum was not ruled out, it could have strained relations
in govt further. 10y BTP spreads are around 5.7bp tighter on the day.
- Gilts have also been on the front foot today, benefitting from some dreadful
UK retail sales. We do not think this will really shift any policymakers who
were on the fence about whether they should vote for a cut or not, given the
timing and volatility of the release. However, the market has moved higher with
the curve bull steepening.
- Bunds and Treasuries started the day a little soft but have since recovered
losses and trade largely unch on the day.
- TY1 futures are up 0-0+ today at 129-05+ with Bund futures down -0.01 at
171.71 and Gilt futures up 0.25 at 133.67.

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