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Budget Surplus Drops In June On Program Spending, Interest Payments

CANADA DATA
  • The Federal budget surplus narrowed to C$2.1B in June compared to C$4.9B in Jun’22, with no change in trend when looking on a net actuarial loss basis (C$2.9B after C$5.7B).
  • Program spending excl net actuarial losses rose C$2.9B (10% Y/Y), driven led by increased seniors' payouts (+C$0.9B or 17% Y/Y) while revenue gained C$1.4B (3.9% Y/Y).
  • Public debt charges increased C$1.3B, or a very strong 55% Y/Y, owing to higher interest rates.
  • Fixed income markets are still very much focused on the net sell-off since Fed Chair Powell’s remarks at Jackson Hole, with GoCs outperforming at the front end (2YY +3.5bps vs +5.3bp for Tsys) but otherwise increasingly underperforming further out the curve.

Source: Department of Finance Canada

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