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Building On Tuesday's Bid

OIL

WTI & Brent sit ~$0.60 above their respective settlement levels at typing, after the benchmarks added ~$1.00 on Tuesday, supported by U.S. Gulf of Mexico shut ins and a bid in equities (despite the latter somewhat faltering during the last few hours of NY trade).

  • After hours Tuesday saw a surprise, deep draw in headline crude stocks in the latest round of weekly API crude estimates, alongside a surprise draw in distillate stocks, a surprise build in gasoline stocks and small draw at the Cushing hub. The deep draw in headline crude stocks has supported the space overnight.
  • Elsewhere, Tuesday saw the IEA cut its forecast for 2020 oil demand growth, pointing to a "treacherous" path ahead. The Agency noted that it expects "the recovery in oil demand to decelerate markedly in the second half of 2020, with most of the easy gains already achieved."
  • On the Gulf shut in front, yesterdays BSEE estimate pointed to 27% (~479K bpd) of production being shut in.
  • OPEC+ meetings will dominate over the next couple of sessions, with DoE inventory data also due later today.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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