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Building Permits Bounce Modestly After Weak Patch

US DATA
  • Building permits were higher than expected in June at 1446k (cons 1400k) in June after an already known upward revised 1399k (initial 1386k).
  • It saw permits rise 3.4% M/M, although it’s relatively tepid after three heavy declines worth more than 10% through Mar-May, leaving permits -3.1% Y/Y.
  • The increase on the month was led by a spike in the typically volatile multi-unit sector (+15.6%) whereas single unit permits were -2.3%, a fifth consecutive monthly decline.
  • This rolling over in single family permits has helped narrow what was an increasingly wide gap between the two - see chart - arguably of note with single unit home construction potentially having a higher multiplier to GDP than each unit in a multi-unit setting.
  • Actual starts meanwhile were also higher than expected at 1353k (cons 1300k) after an upward revised 1314k (initial 1277k).

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