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Free AccessBullard: Asset Sales "Plan B"; Ukraine Crisis Not Leading Macro Issue
Bullard continues on CNBC - arguably not as hawkish on balance sheet policy as some of his colleagues (incl KC George this morning) who have advocated for active Fed asset sales.
- Says hikes/runoff are "relatively cheap from my perspective as a policymaker" - at this point they're not tightening policy, but removing accommodation.
- Bullard says would like runoff to steepen the yield curve.
- Fed hasn't decided on tactics; it's all "in the works". Would like to get passive runoff started in Q2 and some Plan B where can use asset sales if necessary to speed up runoff. "Exactly how that could work is an open question" but that could put more pressure on long-end of the curve. For now, he's "happy" to see passive runoff.
- Says US has one of the strongest labor markets it's ever seen; projecting unemp rate could go below 3% this year. Bullard says companies are "scrambling" for workers; expect to see that reflected in wages; says will show up in CPI as well.
- Says expects positive reopening impact on Q2/Q3 GDP. Says companies he's talked to unsure whether supply-chain constraints will ease this year, could last into next year.
- Re Ukraine-Russia: more of a concern for Europe than the US; have seen fighting in that area of the world. An important policy issue, but not necessarily a leading macroeconomic issue, at least at this point.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.