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CAD Implied Rates Push Higher With US, ~75bp Of Cuts In 2024

CANADA
  • 3M CORRA implied yields continue to push higher along with their US counterparts today, rising 5-5.5bps through 2H24 and through 2025.
  • It sees the Dec’24 implied rate push above the highest close seen last week to 75bp of cuts from the recently lowered 5.01% CORRA, but it remains 3bps below levels shortly before last week’s surprisingly soft CAD CPI (and 8bps below the early close on the Friday seen before that).
  • Nearer-term, OIS implies a first rate cut fully priced for July with 15-16bp of cumulative cuts priced for June.
  • GDP is in local focus this week on Thu before next week’s BoC decision.

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