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Can Mega-Cap Growth Stocks Continue to Trend Higher 'Without Liquidity'?

GLOBAL
  • In the past 18 months, the significant increase in global liquidity has been one of the main drivers of the spectacular recovery in global equities, and especially the US growth stocks.
  • The chart below shows how the mega-cap growth stocks (represented by the FANG+ index) have been strongly co-moving with global liquidity, which we compute as the total assets of the G4 central banks (Fed, ECB, BoJ, PBoC), in the past 5 years.
  • We saw last week that the Fed decided to accelerate its tapering (30bn USD a month), putting it on track to conclude the program in early 2022 (rather than mid-2022 previously).
  • Can the momentum in global equity persist if DM central banks start tapering / raising rates in 2022?

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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