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Capex Outlook Positive

AUSTRALIA DATA

The private capital expenditure data for Q4 painted a positive picture of investment in Australia. It rose 2.2% q/q in volume terms, higher than expected, and Q3 was revised up to +0.6% from -0.6%. The increase was driven by buildings and structures rising 3.6% q/q while plant & equipment rose 0.6%.Initial capex plans for 2023-24 are up 11.1% on the first estimate for 2022-23 and were solid across major sectors, signalling the resilience of the economy.

  • Capex is up 3.6% y/y after 2.5% the previous quarter. Building is up 3.8% y/y from 2.8% and plant & equipment +3.4% from 2.2%.
  • Investment plans for the current financial year have been revised up 2.2% on the previous estimate, although building was revised down 0.8% while plant & equipment was up 6.3%. Estimates for 2023-24 are up 10.1% and 12.5% on the estimate a year ago respectively.
  • Mining capex rose 0.7% q/q but was outdone by non-mining at +2.8%. The first estimate of mining investment intentions for 2023-24 are up 7.4% on a year ago while non-mining is 12.9%.
Australia real private capital expenditure y/y%

Source: MNI - Market News/ABS

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