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CDU Closing On Greens, But Baerbock Most Popular Chancellor Candidate

GERMANY

The latest opinion poll from Forsa shows a marginal increase in support for the centre-right Christian Democratic Union (CDU), matched by a concurrent decline in support for the environmentalist Greens. However, the same poll shows Green chancellor candidate Annalena Baerbock still with a healthy advantage over CDU head Armin Laschet in the 'preferred chancellor' stakes.

  • Forsa poll: Greens: 27% (-1), CDU/CSU: 24% (+1), SPD: 15% (+1), FDP: 11% (-1), AfD: 10%, Die Linke: 6%. +/- vs. 27 April - 3 May 2021. Fieldwork: 4–10 May 2021. Sample size: 2,501
  • Preferred Chancellor poll: Baerbock (Green) : 31% (=), Laschet (CDU) :17% (=), Scholz (SPD): 12%(=). Forsa, +/- vs. 27 April - 3 May 2021. Fieldwork: 4–10 May 2021. Sample size: 2,501
  • The two most likely coalition options after the election remain a CDU-Green alliance or a 'traffic light' coalition involving the Greens, Social Democrats, and Free Democrats.

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