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- The focus in Peru is on today’s BCRP decision where the central bank is expected to raise its key rate by 25bps to 7.00%, according to all 12 economists surveyed by Bloomberg.
- Despite Lima CPI moderating in August to 8.4% from 8.74%, the September monthly reading of +0.52% was above median consensus, prompting the annual rate to jump once again to 8.53%.
- August 12-month ahead inflation expectations continued to dip, albeit at a slower pace of just 6 basis points to 5.10%.
- Activity declined 0.8% M/m in July. Mining and manufacturing were the main drags with construction also contributing. Services partially offset the decline. Activity is close to potential and pension savings withdrawals should provide some support in H2. Additional data released since the September meeting indicated higher a unemployment rate (7.3% from 6.8% in July).
- The BCRP is widely considered to be entering the late fine-tuning stage of its hiking cycle. Some analyst views for this meeting will be recirculated throughout today’s session.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.