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Free AccessChina Should Increase Budget Deficit Ratio Next Year - Yicai
China should set next year’s budget deficit-to-GDP ratio higher than 3%, up from 2.8% this year, to plug the fiscal gap between revenues and expenditures, Yicai.com reported citing analysts. A 3.5% rate could provide CNY4.5 trillion of funds but an additional CNY2 trillion would be required, which could be sourced from SOEs profits to fill the estimated CNY6.4 trillion fiscal gap in 2023, the newspaper said citing Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities. Gao Ruidong, chief macro economist at Everbright Securities, said the rate should be raised to 3.1%, as local governments facing high debt burdens have limited room to add leverage, which would require the central government to be the main provider of additional leverage next year, Yicai said.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.