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ChiNext Tumbles Through Key Support

CHINA STOCKS

ChiNext Index has broken out of its recent trading band upon falling through Aug 12 low of 2,578. The recent sell-off, which resulted in a breach of the 50-DMA (a solid support from mid-Aug through the beginning of this week), was underpinned by stronger volume. Tech-led declines at Wall Street may have spilled over into ChiNext over the recent few days, with today's decline in China's tech-heavy index driven by electronics and pharmaceuticals. The news that AstraZeneca's promising Covid-19 vaccine tests have been halted took their toll on sentiment, adding pressure to Asia-Pac equity space. ChiNext has looked past a recovery in Nasdaq futures, which managed to turn green, and continues to head lower, printing worst levels since early July at typing.

  • Momentum indicators gesture towards scope for further losses, with next support coming up at 2,466, which represents the 38.2% Fibo retracement of the YtD range. A fall through there would open up the 100-DMA at 2,426 and the 2,400 area, where the index attempted to form a base in early July before resuming its rally. Bulls need to reclaim the 50-DMA, intersecting at the round figure of 2,700, before targeting Sep 3 high of 2,789. A penetration of the latter level would return focus to the Jul 13/YtD high of 2,896.


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