Free Trial

Citi: Current A/c's Should Limit Vulnerability To U.S. Yields

EMERGING MARKETS

Citi note that "when risk appetite declines on the back of rising U.S. yields, EM's vulnerability to the resulting capital outflows is really just a function of how much dependence they have on capital inflows in the first place. The very strong current account positions in EM these days help to insulate EM asset prices because these countries' need for financing is relatively small. Of course, it is tragic that the basic cause of these surpluses is recession rather than robust export growth, but from the perspective of external financial stability, strong current account positions in EM should limit EM's vulnerability to rising - and, remember, still negative - real U.S. yields."

MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.