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Citi's preliminary May month-end FX hedge.....>

FOREX
FOREX: Citi's preliminary May month-end FX hedge rebalancing estimate points to
USD selling and buying of all other currencies.
- Citi note that "relative asset performance in May has been largely opposite to
the prior month with US bonds & equities outperforming most other major markets.
This means that foreign investors with US asset exposure, a dominant component
of any global asset benchmark, need to sell USD to bring their hedges in line
with increased asset values. Equity hedge rebalancing flows dominate this
month's signal, explaining about 7.5bp of the 7.8bp estimated global net USD
selling. The fixed income rebalancing signal is on the margin also USD negative
because US investors with Euro Area fixed income exposures need to sell off some
of their hedges. Poor performance of Euro Area equities and bonds makes buy
EURUSD the strongest signal this month-end at +1.1 standard deviations. Other
USD sell-signals measure around 0.8 standard deviations."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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