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Free AccessCNH Weakens To 6.8600/6.8700, But Outperforms Broader USD Gains
USD/CNH was mostly firmer post the Asia close, getting above 6.8700 late in the NY session. We are slightly lower now, last tracking around the 6.8620/30 region. CNH fell close to 0.4% for Wednesday's session, slightly outperforming broader USD indices (DXY +0.60%). The CNY NEER was up 0.27% for the session to 126.25 (J.P. Morgan Index). For USD/CNH we sit close to both the 50 and 200 day (both near 6.8600) EMAs, while the 100 day is higher at 6.9064.
- On the data front today we have Jan home prices, last was -0.25% in Dec. House prices have fallen for 16 straight months, with activity indicators in Jan (such as sales) remaining weak. Also out is SWIFT payments data in CNY, but this is not a market mover.
- Locally, in a speech released yesterday, China President Xi Jinping reportedly stated that domestic demand should be expanded, vowing to boost low and middle incomes and consumption in 2023 (the speech was reportedly made late last year, but the text was released yesterday).
- This comes after Bloomberg reported yesterday the consumer led recovery was at risk from misuse of loans (see this link for more details).
- In Wednesday US trade, the Golden Dragon Index rose 0.30%, after onshore equities were weaker yesterday (-0.52% for the CSI 300). Northbound outflows were -1.86bn yuan.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.