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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessMNI US OPEN - ECB Set to Deliver Third Consecutive Cut
MNI China Daily Summary: Thursday, December 12
Commerzbank Sees 25bps Hike
- As Czech core inflation has accelerated further, the Czech real interest rate is now the most negative in CE3, and this is taking a toll on the koruna exchange rate.
- This was not manifested clearly because CNB was making sizeable FX interventions to defend the currency.
- Nevertheless, as Tomas Holub correctly clarified in his interview, continued intervention (as a substitute for rate hikes) would begin to attract the attention of speculators and could end up in a messy situation.
- In recent days, the koruna has begun to drift weaker and underperform CE3 peers.
- Hence, it makes sense to hold a base-case where CNB will use its remaining ammunition sooner rather than later, raising the key rate today (25bps hike).
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.