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Commodities Weigh On Exports, But Trade Remains Solid

AUSTRALIA DATA

The April trade surplus narrowed more than expected to $11.16bn from a downwardly-revised $14.82bn driven by weaker exports but still rising imports. It remains elevated and within the range seen since 2021. The series is nominal and so was impacted by declining commodity prices.

  • Exports fell 5% m/m after rising 4.1% due to weaker metals ores and minerals. While goods exports were down 7% m/m after +4.4%, services rose 7.8% (Mar +2.4%) with tourism up 13.4%. Services exports are now +55.6% y/y with merchandise -2.8%. There was a sharp drop in rural goods as well as the main commodity exports. Metal ores fell 10.4%, coal -7.1% and metals -17.9% due to lower prices and volumes.
  • Imports rose 1.6% m/m after an upwardly-revised 3.7% in March, driven by civil aircraft (+103.4% m/m), with goods up 1.1% (Mar +3.9%) and services +3.7% (+2.7%). Services imports are now +23.6% y/y and merchandise +5.4%. Machinery & equipment rose 4.7%, implying that the capex recovery seen in Q1 should continue into Q2. Consumer goods rose 0.7% driven by food & beverages. Tourism imports increased 7.3%, as the recovery in travel continues.
Australia exports of goods and services y/y%

Source: MNI - Market News/Refinitiv

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