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Free AccessConcurrent Factors Should Tip Board to 50bps Hike in June
- The Norges Bank's model-based policy approach and sensitivity to the weaker local currency should tilt the Bank to conducting a 'double' hike of 50bps this week. Core inflation is re-accelerating, wage settlements remain elevated and a tight labour market suggests continued pressures ahead. Lastly, the resilient housing market justifies a faster pace of tightening in Norway.
- Most of these factors would justify a 25bps step for June, however the May CPI-ATE release will have changed the thinking of the board, and should result in sharply higher near-term inflation and rate path projections, as well as a lower assumption for the I-44 NOK exchange rate.
- Full MNI Preview including summary of sell-side views here: https://roar-assets-auto.rbl.ms/files/54229/MNINBP...
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.