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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
UK
The latest YouGov opinion poll shows Prime Minister Boris Johnson's centre-right Conservatives extending their lead over the main opposition centre-left Labour Party to 15%, the widest lead for the party since May 2020.
- Westminster voting intention: Conservative: 45% (+2), Labour: 30% (-3), Green: 8% (+2), Liberal Democrat: 7% (-), ReformUK: 2% (-1). via @YouGov. Chgs. w/ 05 May. Fieldwork: 11-12 May.
- The rise in support for the Conservatives may be attributed to a polling phenomenon seen in many nations known as the 'winners aura', where a party or candidate that wins an election sees an immediate boost in polling in the following weeks after an election win (for the Conservatives coming in the form of the party's win in the Hartlepool by-election and English council elections on 6 May).
- The poor score for Labour - if sustained - is likely to place even more pressure on party leader Sir Keir Starmer, who has had to deal with a vocal backlash from the left of his party for the poor election results on 6 May and a botched shadow Cabinet reshuffle in its aftermath.
Chart 1. Opinion Polling, % and 5-poll moving average
Source: YouGov, Redfield and Wilton, Savanta ComRes, Panelbase, Focaldata, Number Cruncher, Opinium, Survation, BMG, Kantar Pulse, Ipsos MORI, Deltapoll, MNI. N.b Each dot indicates single data point.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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