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Consumer Pocketbook Weakest Since Pandemic

CANADA DATA
  • The Bloomberg Nanos consumer confidence index resumed its decline last week, with the economic mood measure at 48.8 (-0.8pts) stepping to a new low since early July having paused the week prior.
  • Declines were led by the expectations component, but the pocketbook component is more notable in a relative sense, at 52.3 (-0.7pts) pushing to a new recent low since May’20. Being a fresh low, prior to the pandemic it's the lowest since 2013.
  • Declines were seen across all four of the main subcomponents: 13.0% vs 13.2% saw better off personal finances over the past year, 50.9% vs 53.5% see their job as secure, 11.8% vs 12.4% see a stronger forward-looking view of the Canadian economy, and 37.2% vs 39.8% expect higher real estate prices. The question on job security is the only area that isn’t the weakest for at least a month.

Bloomberg Nanos consumer confidence (white), wtih pocketbook (green) and expectations (yellow)Source: Bloomberg

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