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Core CPI At 4.0% and Supercore At 6.5% Over Six Months

US DATA
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  • The almost completely in-line core CPI print of 0.29% M/M doesn’t yield any real surprises in latest trends.
  • The three-month rate eased four tenths to 4.1% annualized whilst the six-month increased two tenths to 4.0% for its third consecutive month above the Y/Y (of 3.61%).
  • The same is also true for supercore CPI at a still hot but broadly as expected 0.42% M/M (and with its large 0.19pp contribution from vehicle insurance that isn’t reflected in PCE).
  • The three-month rate eased from a huge 8.2% to 6.3% in April as the 0.85% from January dropped out, but the six-month accelerates four tenth to 6.5% annualized.

Core CPI (SA)

  • % M/M: 0.29 in Apr'24 after 0.36 in Mar'24
  • % 3mth ar: 4.1 in Apr'24 after 4.5 in Mar'24
  • % 6mth ar: 4.0 in Apr'24 after 3.9 in Mar'24

Supercore CPI (SA)

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  • The almost completely in-line core CPI print of 0.29% M/M doesn’t yield any real surprises in latest trends.
  • The three-month rate eased four tenths to 4.1% annualized whilst the six-month increased two tenths to 4.0% for its third consecutive month above the Y/Y (of 3.61%).
  • The same is also true for supercore CPI at a still hot but broadly as expected 0.42% M/M (and with its large 0.19pp contribution from vehicle insurance that isn’t reflected in PCE).
  • The three-month rate eased from a huge 8.2% to 6.3% in April as the 0.85% from January dropped out, but the six-month accelerates four tenth to 6.5% annualized.

Core CPI (SA)

  • % M/M: 0.29 in Apr'24 after 0.36 in Mar'24
  • % 3mth ar: 4.1 in Apr'24 after 4.5 in Mar'24
  • % 6mth ar: 4.0 in Apr'24 after 3.9 in Mar'24

Supercore CPI (SA)

Keep reading...Show less