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Covid Situation Raises Fiscal Concern

BRAZIL

USDBRL has ripped on the open catching up with its LatAm counterparts. A new high was made at 5.3688 and it is worth noting the cluster of resistance in the pair in this region. 200day at 5.3750, 5.3960 High Nov 30 and 100day at 5.4092 are picking up analysts' attention.


Guedes eased some potential concerns regarding the cabinet meeting yesterday, stating it was purely to discuss the vaccination timetable. He added that there is no divergence on economic views between him and the President.


However, the country registered 1,242 deaths and 63,430 new confirmed cases in the past 24 hours. This was the highest daily number of new infections since Dec. 17 and puts further pressure on the potential need for more short-term financial aid which may pressurise the spending cap.


*CPI tomorrow will be important for the BCB before the COPOM meet on Jan 20th.


*Treasury auctions fixed-rate LTN local notes due 2022, 2023 and 2024; fixed-rate NTN-F local notes due 2029 and 2031 and Selic-linked LFT notes due 2022 and 2027.

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