Free Trial

Crude Put Skew Reduces After OPEC Cut Announcement

OIL OPTIONS

The crude options put skew is reducing following the bearish move in mid March supported by the OPEC+ production cuts from next month and more stable financial markets. The Brent second month 25 delta call-put skew is up from around -8.3% on 24 March to -4.2% and the WTI second month skew is up from -10% to -5.1%.

  • The Brent Dec23 skew is also closing with some analysts expecting a tighter balance and higher prices in H2 2023 due to the supply reduction and higher demand from a recovery in China. Global demand concerns and robust Russian exports despite sanctions and the production cuts in March are adding downside pressure to oil markets. The Brent Dec23 skew is up from -6.6% on 24 March to -5.2% but WTI is still down at 7.2%.
  • Second month ATM implied volatility is down at 37.8% for Brent and 38.5% for WTI.
    • Brent JUN 23 up 6% at 84.71$/bbl
    • WTI MAY 23 up 6.3% at 80.42$/bbl


Source: Bloomberg

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.