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Crude Skews Turn More Bearish Despite Support for the Futures

OIL OPTIONS

The second month crude options call-put skew is again turning slightly more bearish despite the recent support to the crude futures market on the improved risk environment as the US Fed is potentially nearing a pause in rate hikes.

  • The Brent second month 25 delta call-put skew has edged lower from around -4.7% earlier this week to -5.8% while the futures have held relatively steady during the same period. The WTI skew has also drifted lower from -5.5% yesterday to -6.5% today.
  • The Dec23 skews have also declined this week with uncertainty surrounding the rate of recovery in China. Brent is down from -4.5% to -5.4% and WTI down from -5.7% to -6.5%.
  • ATM implied volatility has stabilised with Brent around 35% and WTI around 36%.after a surge higher earlier in May.
    • Brent JUL 23 up 1.2% at 77.3$/bbl
    • WTI JUN 23 up 1.1% at 73.39$/bbl


Source: Bloomberg

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