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Crude Volatility Drifting Lower As Put Skew Holds Steady

OIL OPTIONS

Brent second month call-put skew is largely unchanged despite the rally in crude futures and improved demand sentiment this week while implied volatility is drifting lower.

  • Crude ATM implied volatility has gradually declined over the last with Brent second month down from nearly 46% on 4 Jan to 42.6% and WTI down from 47.4% to 42.3%.
  • The second month Brent call-put skew is hovering around a -3.25% premium to the puts and the WTI second month call-put spread is approximately -3.8%.
  • The Brent Dec23 skew is at -4.6% having closed in to around -3.75% earlier this week with support from demand recovery optimism in the second half of this year and potential further Russian supply disruption. The WTI Dec23 skew is around -5.7%.
  • The call open positions across all contracts out to Dec 2024 are mostly spread between 90$/bbl and 125$/bbl but with a significant volume also sitting at 150$/bbl. The downside cover is mostly spread from 80$/bbl down to 50$/bbl.


Source: MNI / Bloomberg

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