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Currency implied vols across both EM and....>

OPTIONS
OPTIONS: Currency implied vols across both EM and DMFX markets are on the front
foot given the pullback in global (and in particular Asia-Pacific) equity
markets. Much focus was paid to the re-opening of Taiwanese equity indices
today, which swiftly shed around 6% and may be a decent indication of how
Chinese mainland markets respond when they eventually re-open.
- Haven currencies have seen short-end vol tenors surge higher, with JPY and CHF
vols the main beneficiaries. Hedging appetite is suitably higher, with
particular demand for TWD, HKD, RUB and CNY positions.
- USD/CNH risk reversals remain near multi-month highs, showing the preference
for downside CNY exposure as spot USD/CNH hovers either side of the much-watched
7.00 level.
- GBP vols are the standout, with 1- and 3-m vols pulling lower as the Bank of
England did a decent job in dissuading markets of any imminent rate cuts from
the MPC. Decent expiry interest south of the $1.31 handle could limit gains in
spot going forward, however, with a slew of $1.30 strikes due to roll off in the
coming two weeks.
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3809 | edward.hardy@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3809 | edward.hardy@marketnews.com

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