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Defying Gravity

EURCHF TECHS

On Tuesday, we published a note on EURCHF highlighting the medium-term bullish conditions that currently dominate. The key points are:

  • Bullish EURCHF trend conditions improved significantly last week following the break of resistance at 1.0900.
  • Using the point and figure chart, the uptrend is defined by a positive moving average slope structure following a reversal in May 2020 of the prior 24-month bear-trend.
  • Bulls have cleared 1.0900, the June 2020 reaction high on the P&F chart (1.0916 is the intraday high on Jun 5 2020).
  • The break higher reinforces underlying bullish conditions.
  • 1.0900, a former resistance now marks a key pivot support area.
  • Major support is at 1.0620.
  • This chart application and the technical structure suggests that on a 3-month time horizon, EURCHF is likely to remain in a bull mode.

Today, the cross is extending gains and has traded through the 1.1100 handle. This opens 1.1200 next and 1.1255, 50.0% of the major downtrend between April 2018 and May 2020.

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