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Free AccessDemocrat Enthusiasm Surges Under Harris
A new survey from the Monmouth University Polling Institute has shown that enthusiasm for the Democrat candidate has surged under Vice President Kamala Harris, outstripping Republican enthusiasm for former President Donald Trump, who had a consistent enthusiasm edge over President Biden.
- Monmouth reports, noting that the majority of enthusiasm is derived from an uptick of support for Harris amongst Democrats: "While the number of voters who were at least somewhat enthusiastic about the Trump versus Biden rematch had been increasing throughout the year, it never topped 50%. Now that the contest is Trump versus Harris, voter enthusiasm has risen to 68%."
- Patrick Murray, director of Monmouth, notes: “This is clearly a different ballgame. The nominee change has raised the ceiling for potential Democratic support in the presidential contest by a small but crucial amount, at least for now.”
- The survey also found: "Just under half of registered voters say they will either definitely (38%) or probably (10%) vote for Harris," with, "just over 4 in 10 will definitely (33%) or probably (10%) support Trump," numbers that appear to track closely with the vote share won by President Biden in 2020.
Figure 1: Enthusiasm About Presidential Race
Source: Monmouth University Polling
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.