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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
US
Democrats have continued to strengthen in the generic Congressional ballot - A key midterm polling metric which ask respondents to make a binary choice between an unnamed House Democrat and unnamed House Republican.
- According to RealClearPolitics the Democrat advantage is .2% - the first Democrat lead since November 12 last year. According to FiveThirtyEight, Democrats are ahead by .5%.
- The House of Representatives is still widely tipped to be heading to the Republican party in November, although the generic ballot suggests the prospects of a Red Wave are diminishing and the political environment is improving for Democrats suggesting an outside chance of retaining the lower chamber.
- Polling in the Senate suggests that Democrats are firming as favourite to maintain control of the Upper Chamber, raising the prospect of a split Congress.
- Such a Congressional divide (Republican House/Democrat Senate) would block Democrats from passing meaningful legislation but also prevent the Republican party from forcing President Biden to veto Republican passed legislation and prevent a potential move by the GOP to impeach the President, which should not be discounted considering the acrimonious state of partisan politics.
Figure 1: Generic Congressional Ballot (RealClearPolitics)
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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