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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI US OPEN - Soft NFP Report Should Cement December Cut
MNI China Daily Summary: Friday, December 6
Duration Remains Out Of Favour
Global curves are steepening as long-end yields continue to hit multi-year highs. No new "news" driving these moves, with continued themes including Fed hawkishness/USD gains/UK macro policy concerns/European energy crisis.
- European long-end yields are leading the way higher, with UK 30Ys pushing decisively through 5.00% for a fresh post-1998 high amid a 30Y Green Gilt syndication.
- Meanwhile, new post-2014 highs for Buxl (moving higher above 2%); and 30Y USTs (sit just shy of 3.90%). US 10Y yields trade above 4% for the first time since 2008.
- Short-end instruments are outperforming. Several ECB speakers weighed in on a 75bp October hike and getting rates to "neutral" by end-year (though Holzmann said 100bp is "currently too much").
- A heavy Fed speaker slate lies ahead with Powell, Evans, Bowman, Bostic, Bullard and Barkin. 7Y Note supply also eyed.
- Somewhat overlooked in the morning's tumult were new post-Apr 2020 BTP spread wides vs Bunds (257.9bp).
Latest levels:
- US: 2-Yr yield down 2.9bps at 4.2541%, 5-Yr up 3.2bps at 4.216%, 10-Yr up 5.8bps at 4.0027%, 30-Yr up 6.6bps at 3.8917%.
- DE: 2-Yr yield down 0.7bps at 1.976%, 5-Yr up 6.3bps at 2.233%, 10-Yr up 10.9bps at 2.34%, 30-Yr up 12.6bps at 2.218%.
- UK: 2-Yr yield down 1.7bps at 4.63%, 5-Yr down 2.2bps at 4.677%, 10-Yr up 4.3bps at 4.549%, 30-Yr up 9.6bps at 5.084%.
- Italy / German 10-Yr spread 2.3bps wider at 254.9bps
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.