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Free AccessEarly Risk Aversion Fades Away
The initial round of risk-off flows has been unwound, despite the absence of headlines that could assuage fears of further escalation in the Russia/Ukraine standoff. On a somewhat speculative note, a relatively guarded speech from Ukraine's President Zelensky and second thoughts on the potential for Russian aggression beyond the de facto borders of self-proclaimed Donbas republics might be playing a role here, although it must be noted that Western leaders keep warning against imminent Russian aggression and working on sanctions against Moscow.
- SEK leads gains among major currencies and it has proven to show large sensitivity to the Russia/Ukraine crisis. The Antipodeans have regained poise, while safe haven currencies have lost their initial allure.
- Spot USD/RUB surged past the RUB80.00 mark, topping out at RUB80.54 before easing off. The rate showed at its best levels since early November but has now recouped most of its initial losses.
- While Russia/Ukraine headlines are poised to remain front & centre, the global data docket features German Ifo survey as well as U.S. Conf. Board Consumer Confidence & PMI figures. Speeches are due from Fed's Bostic, BoE's Ramsden & Norges Bank's Olsen.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.