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Early SOFR/Treasury Option Roundup

US TSYS

Overnight trade leaning toward SOFR put structures and Treasury calls reported on light volume. Curves steeper with underlying futures trading firmer in the short end (3M10Y +6.555 at -100.072, 2Y10Y +5.682 at -62.532). Note 10Y yield back near Fri's 16Y high of 4.5064% at 4.4906% (+.0569). Rate hike projections into early 2024 holding steady/off last week's post-FOMC high: November at 20.7% w/ implied rate change of +5.2bp to 5.379%, December cumulative of 12.1bp at 5.448%, January 2024 12.5bp at 5.453%. Fed terminal at 5.455% in Feb'24.

  • SOFR Options:
    • 2,000 0QX3 95.62/95.87/96.12 call trees ref 95.36
    • 1,400 0QH4 95.00/95.25 put spds ref 95.63
    • 1,400 SFRM4 95.25/95.50 call spds ref 94.775
    • 4,000 0QV3 95.31/95.43/95.62 broken call trees ref 95.34
  • Treasury Options:
    • over 7,400 TYX3 108 puts, 45 last
    • 2,200 TUX3 101-87 calls, 4.5 ref 101-09.12
    • 2,400 TUX3 101 puts, 7.5 ref 101-09.12
    • 3,900 USX3 114 puts, 62 ref 115-31
    • 2,300 TYX3 106.5 puts, 15 ref 108-11.5

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