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EGB Supply (1/2)

EUROZONE ISSUANCE

Austria, France, Latvia and Portugal are all due to hold syndications in the near future while Greece and Germany are both due to hold auctions today. The EFSF has already held a syndication while Slovakia, Germany and Finland have already held auctions this week. We pencil in estimated gross issuance for the week at E22.0bln, down from E43.0bln last week.

  • Austria looks to hold a syndication in the “near future” to launch a new 15-year RAGB maturing 15 July 2039. We had expected an Austrian syndication in May (although we had not had a strong conviction surrounding the maturity). We expect a Wednesday transaction with a size of E3.5-5.0bln.
  • France announced a mandate to launch a new 20-year OETei in the “near future” (we expect Wednesday) with a maturity of 25 July 2043. This is not a surprise as we had pencilled in this transaction for May and we look for a E3.0-4.5bln transaction size.
  • Latvia held investor calls on Tuesday ahead of a new 10-year Jul-34 USD bond syndication. We don’t have a strong conviction regarding the size as Latvia has not issued any USD bonds since 2012 but pencil in USD400-600mln. We expect a transaction in the near future (potentially as early as Wednesday).
  • Portugal will also come to the market likely on Wednesday, after it announced a mandate to launch a new 30-year Jun-54 OT. Again we had been looking for a May transaction, and we look for a E3-4bln size.
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Austria, France, Latvia and Portugal are all due to hold syndications in the near future while Greece and Germany are both due to hold auctions today. The EFSF has already held a syndication while Slovakia, Germany and Finland have already held auctions this week. We pencil in estimated gross issuance for the week at E22.0bln, down from E43.0bln last week.

  • Austria looks to hold a syndication in the “near future” to launch a new 15-year RAGB maturing 15 July 2039. We had expected an Austrian syndication in May (although we had not had a strong conviction surrounding the maturity). We expect a Wednesday transaction with a size of E3.5-5.0bln.
  • France announced a mandate to launch a new 20-year OETei in the “near future” (we expect Wednesday) with a maturity of 25 July 2043. This is not a surprise as we had pencilled in this transaction for May and we look for a E3.0-4.5bln transaction size.
  • Latvia held investor calls on Tuesday ahead of a new 10-year Jul-34 USD bond syndication. We don’t have a strong conviction regarding the size as Latvia has not issued any USD bonds since 2012 but pencil in USD400-600mln. We expect a transaction in the near future (potentially as early as Wednesday).
  • Portugal will also come to the market likely on Wednesday, after it announced a mandate to launch a new 30-year Jun-54 OT. Again we had been looking for a May transaction, and we look for a E3-4bln size.