January 16, 2025 17:03 GMT
BONDS: EGBs-GILTS CASH CLOSE: Gilt Relief Rally Continues
BONDS
Gilts outperformed for a second consecutive session Thursday, as Wednesday's softer-than-expected US inflation data maintained the global FI relief rally.
- Bunds and Gilts started the session mixed, with Gilts outperforming on dovish comments from BoE's Taylor late Wednesday, with UK GDP coming in on the soft side.
- Global markets largely shrugged off mixed US data in the European afternoon. But dovish comments by US Federal Reserve Governor Waller on prospective 2025 rate cuts helped European FI rally into the cash close, with yields finishing at/near the session lows.
- The accounts of the ECB December meeting noted "some" saw acase for a 50bp cut last month but this was not a market mover.
- The UK and German curves bull steepened on the day. EGB periphery and semi-core spreads were broadly tighter to Bunds, with BTPs and GGBs outperforming.
- Friday's calendar includes UK retail sales and the final reading of Eurozone December inflation. We also get appearances by ECB's Nagel, Escriva and Centeno, as well as BOE's Bailey.
Closing Yields / 10-Yr EGB Spreads To Germany
- Germany: The 2-Yr yield is down 3bps at 2.229%, 5-Yr is down 2.1bps at 2.346%, 10-Yr is down 1.3bps at 2.547%, and 30-Yr is down 0.1bps at 2.785%.
- UK: The 2-Yr yield is down 8.5bps at 4.381%, 5-Yr is down 6.1bps at 4.406%, 10-Yr is down 5.4bps at 4.677%, and 30-Yr is down 5.8bps at 5.241%.
- Italian BTP spread down 2.7bps at 110.8bps / French OAT down 0.2bps at 79.5bps
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