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EUR 5y5y Inflation-Linked Swap Haven’t Quite Tested 2.60%

EGBS

EUR 5y5y inflation-linked swaps have failed to breach the cycle highs on a closing basis during the recent run higher, but still sit above 2.50% heading into the latest ECB decision. The failure of WTI crude oil futures when it comes to breaching the $80 mark has probably provided the limiting factor, meaning that bulls have been unable to force a meaningful test of the 2.60% level, a figure that has not been closed above since 2012. Also note that wider disinflationary downdrafts will be limiting tailwinds for this metric at present.


Fig. 1: EUR 5y5y Inflation-Linked Swaps (%)

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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