EUR Market Wrap
- Bunds closed 6-8bps cheaper, mostly driven by the geopolitical situation in the Middle East. Stronger-than-expected US retail sales didn’t move 2024 ECB cut pricing while the day’s speakers unsurprisingly aligned with the status quo.
- Main/XO closed +1bp/+10bp, moving wider after 2pm to take WoW moves to +6bp/+26bp. €IG/€HY cash closed +2bp/+3bp to bring WoW to +5bp/+18bp with BB/B bonds slightly tighter and Energy outperforming slightly within €IG.
- SXXP closed +0.1% with Consumer P&S and Energy -1.5%. Notable €IG movers in the European session included Sandoz Group (+5%), ISS A/S (+4%), Lufthansa (-5%) and Forvia (-3%).
- Asian markets are weaker with the HSI, CSI and ASX all nearly 2% lower after a heavy slate of Chinese data which saw GDP coming in at 5.3% vs 4.8% expected, retail sales coming in at 3.1% vs 4.8% expected, Industrial Production coming in at 4.5% vs 6.0% and Property stocks weakening as home prices continued to fall in March. Stoxx 50 futures -1.2%. Up today:
GMT/Local | Impact | Country | Event |
0600/0700 | *** | UK | Labour Market Survey |
0800/1000 | ** | IT | Italy Final HICP |
0900/1100 | *** | DE | ZEW Current Conditions Index |
0900/1100 | *** | DE | ZEW Current Expectations Index |
0900/1100 | * | EU | Trade Balance |
0900/1000 | * | UK | Index Linked Gilt Outright Auction Result |
0900/1000 | * | UK | Index Linked Gilt Outright Auction Result |
0915/1015 | UK | BOE's Lombardelli TSC pre-appointment hearing | |
1215/0815 | ** | CA | CMHC Housing Starts |
1230/0830 | *** | CA | CPI |
1230/0830 | *** | US | Housing Starts |
1255/0855 | ** | US | Redbook Retail Sales Index |
1300/0900 | US | Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson | |
1315/0915 | *** | US | Industrial Production |
1530/1130 | * | US | US Treasury Auction Result for Cash Management Bill |
1530/1130 | ** | US | US Treasury Auction Result for 52 Week Bill |
1630/1230 | US | New York Fed President John Williams | |
1700/1800 | UK | BoE's Bailey Interview On IMF Today | |
1700/1300 | US | Richmond Fed's Tom Barkin | |
1715/1315 | US | Fed Chair Jerome Powell | |
2000/1600 | CA | Canada federal budget | |
2245/1045 | *** | NZ | CPI inflation quarterly |